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เปิดความลับที่เจ้าใหญ่ทำ เเต่นักเทรด 99% ไม่รู้ (รู้ก่อนที่จะเทรดหมดตัว)
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This video is for aspiring and experienced traders who want to understand the strategies of institutional investors and avoid common pitfalls.
TL;DR
Professional traders focus on the big picture and global economic trends, not just short-term charts. Understanding macroeconomics and asset allocation is key to long-term success, while day trading often leads to losses for 99% of retail investors.
Key Takeaways
- Most retail traders lose because they focus on small-time frames and individual charts, ignoring the larger economic picture that institutional investors analyze.
- True investment success comes from understanding the global economic landscape and identifying long-term trends, rather than constantly watching charts for short-term gains.
- Gold is often marketed as a safe haven during war, but this is a narrative pushed by large capital groups; its real utility is limited in extreme scenarios.
- Major investment funds anticipate market movements, like oil price increases, by analyzing geopolitical events and strategic positioning months in advance, not by reacting to news.
- Focusing on frequent trading incurs significant commission costs and risks, whereas investing in dividend-paying assets or long-term trends offers more substantial and sustainable returns.
- Treating investing as a business, with a long-term perspective and strategic allocation, is crucial for survival and profitability, unlike the high-risk, short-term approach of many retail traders.
- Successful investors prioritize understanding the overall market flow and macroeconomics, using charts primarily to identify entry and exit points rather than as the sole basis for decisions.
- Allocate a small portion of capital for short-term trading (10-20%) and focus the majority on long-term investments in trending assets or high-dividend stocks for significant wealth growth.
In This Video
- 00:00Gold's Misleading Narrative
The idea that gold always rises is a myth perpetuated by large capital groups to influence perception.
- 00:18Retail Traders' Small-Picture Thinking
Retail traders lose because they focus on small details, unlike large investors who see the bigger economic picture.
- 00:48Global Economic Turmoil and Opportunities
Amidst crises in oil, war, gold, and crypto, everything seems expensive, but opportunities exist for those who understand the market.
- 02:20International Fund Strategies vs. Local Trading
Global funds focus on macroeconomics, not just charts. Local traders often miss the big picture, leading to losses.
- 03:47Gold vs. Oil: A Case Study
During wartime, gold's rise is a narrative; oil is a more predictable investment due to geopolitical factors and hedging.
- 05:18The Power of Macroeconomic Vision
Understanding global trends, like oil's rise, is key. Focusing on charts alone is a flawed strategy for significant gains.
- 05:45Strategic Allocation and Long-Term Investing
Allocate only a small portion to short-term trades; focus 80% on long-term investments like dividend stocks or foreign funds.
Questions & Answers
Why do most retail traders lose money in the market?
Retail traders often lose because they focus on small-picture thinking and short-term charts, while large institutional investors think big-picture and long-term, creating a vision mismatch.
How do big international funds invest differently from local traders?
International funds study the big picture of the market first, then break it down into commodities like gold, wheat, and oil, rather than just focusing on charts.
Is gold always a good investment during wartime?
No, the idea that gold always rises during war is a myth. Large capital groups manipulate this perception, and gold's value in a severe conflict might be less than basic necessities.
How did big funds profit from the oil market before the recent announcement?
Large funds like the Buffen group bought oil futures six months in advance, anticipating price increases due to potential geopolitical tensions, ensuring profits regardless of the outcome.
What is the biggest mistake new traders make?
New traders often get trapped in short-term timeframes like 15 or 30 minutes, focusing on minor price movements instead of understanding the global economic themes and long-term trends.
How should traders manage their capital for long-term success?
Allocate only 10-20% of capital for short-term trading and invest the remaining 80% in assets with good dividends (over 10% annually) or in stable, trending global markets.
Key Terms
- Retail Traders — Individual investors who buy and sell securities for their own personal accounts, often with smaller amounts of capital.
- Institutional Investors — Large organizations such as mutual funds, pension funds, and hedge funds that trade securities in large volumes.
- Futures Contracts — A standardized legal agreement to buy or sell something at a predetermined price at a specified time in the future.
- Dividends — A distribution of a portion of a company's earnings, decided by the board of directors, to a class of its shareholders.